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Mr. O'SULLIVAN. It is practically free of silt.

Mr. LEAVY. Is that important in hydroelectric developments?
Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir.

Mr. LEAVY. In what way?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Reservoirs will not fill with silt and the wear and tear on hydraulic machinery will be less if the water is free of silt. Mr. LEAVY. The river has been surveyed by United States Army Engineers comprehensively for power development, has it not?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir; in 1931 they recommended a plan for the maximum development of the river for flood-control, navigation, power, and reclamation consisting of 10 dams from Canada to the

sea.

Grand Coulee will be the "key" dam, providing 5,028,000 acrefeet of useful storage. The release of this storage in winter, when the river is running low, will increase the prime power to be generated by 2,000,000 horsepower, including a 100-percent increase at Rock Island Dam and 50 percent at Bonneville, and add an average of 4% feet to the depth of the river for navigation purposes. Grand Coulee will aid in reducing floods on the lower river and will be the major works for reclamation.

Mr. LEAVY. The Bonneville Dam, which is about completed, is near the mouth of the river?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir.

Mr. LEAVY. The completion of Grand Coulee Dam will increase the electrical output there 50 percent?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir.

Mr. LEAVY. Are all these power sites owned by the United States Government?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. All of them could be developed by the United States with the exception of Rock Island, which is owned by the Puget Sound Power & Light Co.

Mr. LEAVY. That power company would double its present output because of this dam?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir. Grand Coulee increases the prime power at five sites between it and the Snake river 100 percent and at four sites below the Snake 50 percent. The value of Bonneville Dam, costing more than $50,000,000 will be increased 50 percent.

Mr. LEAVY. In this set-up, would all the companies be required to contribute toward the expense of the construction of the Grand Coulee Dam?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir; under the Federal Water Power Act.

Mr. LEAVY. When the Grand Coulee project is completed, including the dam and powerhouse, and when the generating machinery is installed, it will cost how much? If it is completed to that extent, what will be the cost?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. The highest estimate is $186,000,000. A saving of $5,000,000 under the estimates in the contract for the foundations indicates a cost of not to exceed $175,000,000.

Mr. LEAVY. How much would have to be spent before there would begin to be a return to the Government from the generation and sale of power?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. $125,000,000. This includes $118,000,000 for the dam and two powerhouse foundations and $7,000,000 for two power units, each with a capacity of 150,000 horsepower.

Mr. LEAVY. That is on the basis that they would install two units. Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir.

Mr. LEAVY. How many additional generating units would be installed?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Sixteen.

Mr. LEAVY. How much power would be developed when all of those units were installed? How much power would be generated if all of them were installed?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. 2,700,000 horsepower.

Mr. LEAVY. That would be the largest hydroelectric project of the kind in the world; would it not?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir. It would generate one-third more power than is generated at Niagara Falls, and about twice as much firm power as will be generated at Boulder Dam.

Mr. LEAVY. After the completion of the dam, there is also a landdevelopment project that is likewise provided?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir.

Mr. LEAVY. That would develop how much land, when the dam is completed?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. One million two hundred thousand acres. This land, as Dr. Mead said, is the finest body of land susceptible of reclamation in the West, possessing a superabundant water supply, a very rich soil, and a long growing season.

Mr. LEAVY. How long a time would it take to develop it completely? Mr. O'SULLIVAN. About 30 or 40 years.

Mr. SCRUGHAM. What is the altitude of those lands?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. From 1,250 feet at the north end of the project to 500 feet at its southern tip.

Mr. FITZPATRICK. What population do you think will be necessary to consume that amount of power?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. The present population, considering the increasing use of electricity, should be able to use that extra amount of power. Then, as the project is being developed, it will probably bring about 1,500,000 additional consumers into the Pacific Northwest.

Mr. LEAVY. Within the next 30 years?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir.

Mr. FITZPATRICK. Assuming that the State of Washington was in a financial condition to complete this project itself, would you, as a representative of the State, recommend the project to the State of Washington and to the taxpayers as a self-liquidating project, and would you advise them to invest $186,000,000 in it?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. I certainly would if they were in a position to do so. Mr. JOHNSON. How much money has heretofore been invested in the project?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Up to January 1, 1937, the State of Washington and the United States have spent $45,350,600.95 on the project. The United States has allocated or appropriated $55,000,000 for construction of the dam and $250,000 for economic surveys of the

land.

Mr. LEAVY. How much has been authorized by Congress?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. It is my opinion that when Congress, on August 30, 1935, by an amendment to the Rivers and Harbors Act, authorized and adopted the Grand Coulee Dam and incidental works, it authorized appropriations necessary for the construction of the project.

Mr. LEAVY. Did not the authorization, at the last session of the Seventy-fourth Congress, specifically provide $63,000,000, with a proviso that other funds should come from further appropriations by Congress?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. The Seventy-fourth Congress, by an amendment to the Interior supply bill, provided that no obligations in excess of $63,000,000 should be incurred in connection with the project "until appropriations, or contract authorizations, or both, therefor are hereafter specifically granted by Congress." On June 18, 1936, Senator Carl M. Hayden, of the conference committee that drafted the amendment, in explaining its effect to the Senate, said: "It is evident that this restriction cannot in any manner affect the law authorizing the construction of the project. It merely provides that no money shall be appropriated to continue the construction of that dam and incidental works, once it is completed to the height that is now contracted for, unless Congress shall make a specific grant for that purpose. In other words, the basic law authorizing the construction of the Grand Coulee Dam is not changed by this limitation."

Mr. LEAVY. That would carry the work to what stage?
Mr. O'SULLIVAN. That would complete the foundations.
Mr. LEAVY. For the powerhouse and dam?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. $63,000,000 will complete the foundations of the dam and of the two power-houses, or more than one-half of the dam as far as costs are concerned. Since the lowest point of the foundations will be but 12 feet above low-water level, they will create only a ripple in the river and will be absolutely worthless unless the dam is completed. They will contain 4,500,000 cubic yards of concrete or 200,000 cubic yards more than is in Boulder Dam.

Mr. LEAVY. Would an appropriation of $7,200,000, which makes up the $63,000,000-with that appropriation, will they be able to continue work during all of the fiscal year 1938?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. No, sir; the contractor will probably finish the foundations in December 1937 and not later than in February 1938. There will be a stoppage of work in the middle of the fiscal year 1938 unless additional funds are provided.

Mr. LEAVY. What would the cessation of the work mean, not only as affecting the project but the people who live there? How many people are actually employed on that project?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. It would be a major calamity. An average of 4,000 men are working on the dam and 10,000 are employed in more than 40 States in furnishing material, supplies and equipment for the project, that have cost, to January 1, 1937, $23,000,000. Fifteen thousand people in new communities near the dam depend wholly upon it for their support and many older communities in that area count heavily upon it for their prosperity. I believe I am conservative in saying that if work on the Grand Coulee Dam should stop the well being of at least 100,000 people throughout the country would be affected.

Mr. LEAVY. If the work is continued in an orderly manner, with sufficient appropriations, when will the first power be ready to be placed on the market for sale?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. The official estimates state 1941. I am inclined. to believe that power can be ready for delivery at an earlier date judging by the progress being made by the contractors.

Mr. LEAVY. Then it would begin at once to return revenue to the Federal Government?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir; there will be a market for the power. Army and Bureau of Reclamation engineers who have made a careful study of the power market have predicted that there will be a market sufficient to absorb all of Grand Coulee power within 15 or 20 years after the completion of the dam.

Mr. SCRUGHAM. Can you bring out any information as to where the power can be contracted for, who will be the buyers?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. This is the financial set-up. The engineers, assuming that the firm power could be sold at the dam for 2 mills per kilowatt-hour and the surplus secondary power for 0.5 mill and that the power would be absorbed within 15 years after the completion of the dam, found that the revenues would pay for the dam and power plant, with 4 percent interest, within 30 years after the completion of the dam and would, during the next 20 years, build up a surplus of $144,000,000 to pay for one-half of the cost of the reclamation project, leaving the farmer to pay about $88 per acre for his water right.

Mr. SCRUGHAM. Explain just what those conclusions are based on. or what is the supporting information?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. The engineers found the price of the power would be so attarctive the electric utilities would secure power at Grand Coulee rather than develop new power themselves; that the power market in the Grand Coulee area, which includes Washington, the northern half of Oregon and Idaho and the western part of Montana, had increased between 1905 and 1930 at the rate of 9.5 percent compounded annually or had doubled every 8 years; and that there was no indication of any cessation in growth in the near future. To be conservative, however, they assumed that the rate of growth would gradually decline, beginning with the rate of 9 percent in 1930 and reaching a rate of about 4%1⁄2 percent in 1960 and that saturation would be reached in 1990.

Mr. SCRUGHAM. In other words, it would stop at the saturation point, which is reached in everything of that kind?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir: in the year 1990. From a table of future power requirements based upon the rate of growth mentioned, the engineers found there would be a demand for twice as much new electric power as can be generated at Grand Coulee, thus providing a market for all existing and contemplated power developments in Even if these estimates should be reduced one third there

the area.

will be an ample market.

A study of the market sustains this prediction. Prior to 1901 the installed capacity of central electric generating stations in Washington, Oregon, Idaho, and Montana was but 8,000 horsepower and in 1902 but 60,000 horsepower. On January 1, 1936, it was 2,384,717 installed horsepower. In 1902, the installed capacity of central electric generating stations in the United States was 1,616,000 horsepower. On January 1, 1936, the installed capacity of plants producing electric power for public use in the United States was 48,177,483 horsepower. Mr. SCRUGHAM. What did you say the horsepower was in 1932? Mr. LEAVY. I understood him to say what it was in 1902. Mr. O'SULLIVAN. In 1902, it was 60,000 in the Pacific Northwest, and 1,616,000 in the United States. Between 1920 and 1935, inclusive, the increase in the State of Washington was 836,178, and in

the Pacific Northwest 1,383,384 horsepower. Had the depression not intervened and a rate of growth of 9 percent obtained after 1929, the increase in the Pacific Northwest would have amounted to 2,383,112 horsepower.

The growth is now breaking all previous records. The increase in the production of electric power for public use in the State of Washington for 1936 over 1929, the predepression peak year of record, was 27.8 percent; in Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, 15.3 percent; and in the United States almost 17 percent. Using the output in 1926 as 100, the production of electric power in the United States in 1929 was 135; in 1932, 113; and in 1936, 165.

Today, the electric utilities in the Pacific Northwest are compelled to operate their steam stand-by plants, even one that has been discarded, to meet the demand for power. These plants which generate 492,393 horsepower are never used when there is sufficient water power. Since 1934 Seattle has purchased large quantities of oil for its steam plant because of low water on the Skagit River. The Puget Sound Power & Light Co. is loaded to capacity and one-third of its power is generated by steam. The Washington Water Power Co. of Spokane has been supplying power to Portland and recently made a contract for 20,000 horsepower generated by steam on Puget Sound to enable it to supply some of the needs of Montana. The Montana Power Co. is rushing to completion its 160,000 horsepower dam on the Flathead River near Polson, Mont. Were Bonneville or Grand Coulee power available today it could economically replace the load of 500,000 horsepower now carried by the steam plants.

The Columbia River is the only dependable source of hydro power left in the Pacific Northwest. Deforestation in the watersheds of other streams has brought about recurring shortages of precipitation or erratic run-offs. In 1929, the Pacific Northwest was on the verge of a disastrous shutting off of electric service. Tacoma was getting power from the airplane carrier Lerington. Other companies were securing power from the Bremerton Navy Yard and closed industrial plants. The Puget Sound Power & Light Co. rushed Rock Island Dam on the Columbia River to completion stating that its power sites on the Puget Sound were no longer economic. The building of steam plants on Puget Sound was hurriedly undertaken. These shortages of precipitation occurred again in 1935 and 1936 and still

exist.

Taking all factors into consideration, there is a shortage of at least 1,000,000 horsepower of installed capacity in the Pacific Northwest today.

Mr. SCRUGHAM. Do you have any information as to the cost of installing the average horsepower unit in a steam plant, and the average cost of installing a horsepower under the Grand Coulee project?

Mr. O'SULLIVAN. I do not have those figures with me.

Mr. SCRUGHAM. Can you furnish that information for the record? Mr. O'SULLIVAN. Yes, sir; I can give you the estimates of the engineers regarding the relative cost of generating Grand Coulee power and that developed by steam.

Mr. SCRUGHAM. I mean the cost of installing a horsepower.

Mr. LEAVY. That figure you have in mind is the cost under the Grand Coulee project?

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