World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
From inside the book
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Page 14
... Mental Models of Social Systems There is nothing new in the use of models to represent social systems . Every- one uses models all the time . Every person in his private life and in his community life uses models for decision making . The ...
... Mental Models of Social Systems There is nothing new in the use of models to represent social systems . Every- one uses models all the time . Every person in his private life and in his community life uses models for decision making . The ...
Page 15
... mental models we otherwise would use as the basis for debating social policy . A computer model embodies a theory of system structure . It states ... model description . The computer gives Introduction 15 Computer Models of Social Systems.
... mental models we otherwise would use as the basis for debating social policy . A computer model embodies a theory of system structure . It states ... model description . The computer gives Introduction 15 Computer Models of Social Systems.
Page 123
Jay W. Forrester. 7 Epilogue 7.1 The Danger from Mental Models From this book the reader should glimpse the nature of multi - loop nonlinear feedback systems , a class to which all our social systems ... Mental Models The World Situation.
Jay W. Forrester. 7 Epilogue 7.1 The Danger from Mental Models From this book the reader should glimpse the nature of multi - loop nonlinear feedback systems , a class to which all our social systems ... Mental Models The World Situation.
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
1970 conditions accumulation assumed assumptions behavior birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRN1 capital investment CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CI=C CIAF CIGN1 CIMT Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve death rate normal decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT NRUN1 POLN1 POLAT pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution ratio POLR pollution-absorption population and capital population density PRESENT ORIGINAL pressures QL-Q ratio CIR RATIO DIMENSIONLESS result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK TIME.K tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system