World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 1
Jay W. Forrester. 1 Introduction 1.1 A World System The world system is encountering new pressures . By " world system " we mean man , his social systems , his technology , and the natural environment . These inter- act to produce growth ...
Jay W. Forrester. 1 Introduction 1.1 A World System The world system is encountering new pressures . By " world system " we mean man , his social systems , his technology , and the natural environment . These inter- act to produce growth ...
Page 17
Jay W. Forrester. 2 Structure of the World System Suggestions to the reader : This chapter gives an overview of the structure chosen to represent interactions between the major sectors of the world system . Section 2.1 introduces the ...
Jay W. Forrester. 2 Structure of the World System Suggestions to the reader : This chapter gives an overview of the structure chosen to represent interactions between the major sectors of the world system . Section 2.1 introduces the ...
Page 74
... world system will eventually do so . If we wish to assume that natural resources will not fail , we can reduce the rate of their usage ( or increase the assumed initial supply ) to see which mode of behavior next appears . 4.3 Pollution ...
... world system will eventually do so . If we wish to assume that natural resources will not fail , we can reduce the rate of their usage ( or increase the assumed initial supply ) to see which mode of behavior next appears . 4.3 Pollution ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
accumulation action actual agriculture appear assumed assumptions average become behavior billion birth rate capital investment Capital-investment cause Chapter consequences continue created crowding curve death rate decline defined depends described developed discard discussed dynamic effect environment equations equilibrium examine existing expect factor falling Figure food production food ratio forces fraction further future gives greater grow growth higher improve increase indicated industrialization influence initial land less limit LOGICAL FUNCTION loop lower material standard means mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource normal NREM NRUN1 occurs ORIGINAL peak person policies pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution ratio POLR population possible present pressures probably processes rate normal reaches reduced relationship remaining represents result rise sector shortage shown shows social systems space standard of living stop structure suppressed TABLE taken tion units usage variable world system