World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 12
But , as agriculture reaches a space limit , as industrial- ization reaches a natural - resource limit , and as both reach a pollution limit , population tends to catch up . Popula- tion then grows until the " quality of life " falls ...
But , as agriculture reaches a space limit , as industrial- ization reaches a natural - resource limit , and as both reach a pollution limit , population tends to catch up . Popula- tion then grows until the " quality of life " falls ...
Page 45
For greater crowding , the influence becomes substantial and is taken here to cause almost a 50 % decline in birth rate when crowding reaches 5 times that in 1970. The assumed effect is from psychological factors , fear , and the threat ...
For greater crowding , the influence becomes substantial and is taken here to cause almost a 50 % decline in birth rate when crowding reaches 5 times that in 1970. The assumed effect is from psychological factors , fear , and the threat ...
Page 72
Natural - resource - usage rate reaches a peak about year 2010 and declines as natural resources , population , and capital investment decline . 2020 . 2060 . ment - in - agriculture fraction . Material standard of living reaches a peak ...
Natural - resource - usage rate reaches a peak about year 2010 and declines as natural resources , population , and capital investment decline . 2020 . 2060 . ment - in - agriculture fraction . Material standard of living reaches a peak ...
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Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
6 other sections not shown
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Common terms and phrases
accumulation action actual agriculture appear assumed assumptions average become behavior billion birth rate capital investment Capital-investment cause Chapter consequences continue created crowding curve death rate decline defined depends described developed discard discussed dynamic effect environment equations equilibrium examine existing expect factor falling Figure food production food ratio forces fraction further future gives greater grow growth higher improve increase indicated industrialization influence initial land less limit LOGICAL FUNCTION loop lower material standard means mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource normal NREM NRUN1 occurs ORIGINAL peak person policies pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution ratio POLR population possible present pressures probably processes rate normal reaches reduced relationship remaining represents result rise sector shortage shown shows social systems space standard of living stop structure suppressed TABLE taken tion units usage variable world system
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Bibliographic information
| Title | World Dynamics |
| Author | Jay W. Forrester |
| Edition | 2 |
| Publisher | Wright-Allen Press, 1971 |
| Original from | the University of Wisconsin - Madison |
| Digitized | 18 Jan 2008 |
| ISBN | 1563270595, 9781563270598 |
| Length | 142 pages |
| Export Citation | BiBTeX EndNote RefMan |