World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 35
BRMM 1.5 BRMMT Eq . 3.1 1.0 0.5 Figure 3-1 1 2 MSL 3 Birth - rate - from - material multiplier vs. material standard of living . 5 BRMM.K - TABHL ( BRMMT , MSL.K , 0,5,1 ) BRMMT = 1.2 / 1 / .85 / .75 / .7 / .7 BRMM · BIRTH - RATE - FROM ...
BRMM 1.5 BRMMT Eq . 3.1 1.0 0.5 Figure 3-1 1 2 MSL 3 Birth - rate - from - material multiplier vs. material standard of living . 5 BRMM.K - TABHL ( BRMMT , MSL.K , 0,5,1 ) BRMMT = 1.2 / 1 / .85 / .75 / .7 / .7 BRMM · BIRTH - RATE - FROM ...
Page 36
Figure 3-1 assumes a 20 % increase for birth rate as the material standard of living drops toward zero . At the right - hand end of the figure , we expect the birth rate to decline , but the amount is not easy to estimate .
Figure 3-1 assumes a 20 % increase for birth rate as the material standard of living drops toward zero . At the right - hand end of the figure , we expect the birth rate to decline , but the amount is not easy to estimate .
Page 40
At the left extreme of the diagram , if the material standard falls to zero , the death rate is shown as rising by a factor of 3. It is possible that further examination will show that this relationship should be less influential — that ...
At the left extreme of the diagram , if the material standard falls to zero , the death rate is shown as rising by a factor of 3. It is possible that further examination will show that this relationship should be less influential — that ...
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Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
6 other sections not shown
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Common terms and phrases
accumulation action actual agriculture appear assumed assumptions average become behavior billion birth rate capital investment Capital-investment cause Chapter consequences continue created crowding curve death rate decline defined depends described developed discard discussed dynamic effect environment equations equilibrium examine existing expect factor falling Figure food production food ratio forces fraction further future gives greater grow growth higher improve increase indicated industrialization influence initial land less limit LOGICAL FUNCTION loop lower material standard means mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource normal NREM NRUN1 occurs ORIGINAL peak person policies pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution ratio POLR population possible present pressures probably processes rate normal reaches reduced relationship remaining represents result rise sector shortage shown shows social systems space standard of living stop structure suppressed TABLE taken tion units usage variable world system
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Bibliographic information
| Title | World Dynamics |
| Author | Jay W. Forrester |
| Edition | 2 |
| Publisher | Wright-Allen Press, 1971 |
| Original from | the University of Wisconsin - Madison |
| Digitized | 18 Jan 2008 |
| ISBN | 1563270595, 9781563270598 |
| Length | 142 pages |
| Export Citation | BiBTeX EndNote RefMan |