World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 4
Jay W. Forrester. Millions of people - solid curve 18,000 1,800- 16,000 1,600- 14,000 -1,400- 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 Millions of people - dashed curve 1,200- 1,000 " Crisis level " 800- + 600 4,000 400 2,000 200 0 100 200 300 400 500 ...
Jay W. Forrester. Millions of people - solid curve 18,000 1,800- 16,000 1,600- 14,000 -1,400- 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 Millions of people - dashed curve 1,200- 1,000 " Crisis level " 800- + 600 4,000 400 2,000 200 0 100 200 300 400 500 ...
Page 52
... curve assumes that capital is not uniformly distributed in the hands of the population . As capital begins to accumulate , it is assumed to concentrate in the hands of a few people who can then rise above immediate consumption needs and ...
... curve assumes that capital is not uniformly distributed in the hands of the population . As capital begins to accumulate , it is assumed to concentrate in the hands of a few people who can then rise above immediate consumption needs and ...
Page 73
... curve comes at the point of maximum downward slope of the curve for natural resources . Natural resources are falling fastest when the usage rate is the highest . Figure 4-4 is again from the original system and shows the generation and ...
... curve comes at the point of maximum downward slope of the curve for natural resources . Natural resources are falling fastest when the usage rate is the highest . Figure 4-4 is again from the original system and shows the generation and ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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accumulation action actual agriculture appear assumed assumptions average become behavior billion birth rate capital investment Capital-investment cause Chapter consequences continue created crowding curve death rate decline defined depends described developed discard discussed dynamic effect environment equations equilibrium examine existing expect factor falling Figure food production food ratio forces fraction further future gives greater grow growth higher improve increase indicated industrialization influence initial land less limit LOGICAL FUNCTION loop lower material standard means mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource normal NREM NRUN1 occurs ORIGINAL peak person policies pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution ratio POLR population possible present pressures probably processes rate normal reaches reduced relationship remaining represents result rise sector shortage shown shows social systems space standard of living stop structure suppressed TABLE taken tion units usage variable world system