World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page ix
... action is doing so on the basis of the model in which he , at that time , has the greatest confidence . Having ... actions . Those others who find this model more persuasive than the one they are now using presumably will wish to employ ...
... action is doing so on the basis of the model in which he , at that time , has the greatest confidence . Having ... actions . Those others who find this model more persuasive than the one they are now using presumably will wish to employ ...
Page 17
... action . We often erroneously think of cause and effect as flowing in only one direction . We speak of action A causing result B. But such a perception is incomplete . Result B represents a new condition of the system that changes the ...
... action . We often erroneously think of cause and effect as flowing in only one direction . We speak of action A causing result B. But such a perception is incomplete . Result B represents a new condition of the system that changes the ...
Page 18
Jay W. Forrester. structure between action ( sleeping ) and the system condition ( weariness ) that in turn affects the action . All the processes of growth and equilibrium are generated within feedback loops . Examples relative to the ...
Jay W. Forrester. structure between action ( sleeping ) and the system condition ( weariness ) that in turn affects the action . All the processes of growth and equilibrium are generated within feedback loops . Examples relative to the ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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accumulation action actual agriculture appear assumed assumptions average become behavior billion birth rate capital investment Capital-investment cause Chapter consequences continue created crowding curve death rate decline defined depends described developed discard discussed dynamic effect environment equations equilibrium examine existing expect factor falling Figure food production food ratio forces fraction further future gives greater grow growth higher improve increase indicated industrialization influence initial land less limit LOGICAL FUNCTION loop lower material standard means mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource normal NREM NRUN1 occurs ORIGINAL peak person policies pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution ratio POLR population possible present pressures probably processes rate normal reaches reduced relationship remaining represents result rise sector shortage shown shows social systems space standard of living stop structure suppressed TABLE taken tion units usage variable world system