World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 15
... system will interact with one another . Until recently there has been no way to estimate the behavior of social sys- tems except by contemplation , discussions , argument , and guesswork . 1.6 Computer Models of Social Systems The ...
... system will interact with one another . Until recently there has been no way to estimate the behavior of social sys- tems except by contemplation , discussions , argument , and guesswork . 1.6 Computer Models of Social Systems The ...
Page 126
... social systems are far more complex and harder to understand than our technological systems . Why , then , do we not use the same approach of making models of social systems and conducting laboratory experiments on those models before ...
... social systems are far more complex and harder to understand than our technological systems . Why , then , do we not use the same approach of making models of social systems and conducting laboratory experiments on those models before ...
Page 127
... social systems . The means are visible . The task will be no easier than the development of science and technology . For the next thirty years we can expect rapid advancement in understanding the complex dynamics of our social systems ...
... social systems . The means are visible . The task will be no easier than the development of science and technology . For the next thirty years we can expect rapid advancement in understanding the complex dynamics of our social systems ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
1970 conditions accumulation agricultural land assumed assumptions behavior birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRN1 capital investment CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CI=C CIAF CIGN1 CIMT Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT NRUN1 POLN1 POLCM pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution ratio POLR POLLUTION UNITS pollution-absorption population and capital population density pressures QL-Q ratio CIR RATIO DIMENSIONLESS result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK TIME.K tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system