World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 6
... factor of 4,000 , agricul- tural land declines by only 17 % , and the food ratio is essentially constant at its maximum value . But in the next 100 years , population rises further by only another factor of four while agricultural land ...
... factor of 4,000 , agricul- tural land declines by only 17 % , and the food ratio is essentially constant at its maximum value . But in the next 100 years , population rises further by only another factor of four while agricultural land ...
Page 40
... factor of 2 but no more . At the left extreme of the diagram , if the material standard falls to zero , the death rate is shown as rising by a factor of 3. It is possible that further examination will show that this relationship should ...
... factor of 2 but no more . At the left extreme of the diagram , if the material standard falls to zero , the death rate is shown as rising by a factor of 3. It is possible that further examination will show that this relationship should ...
Page 43
... factor of 30 for no food , which is high enough to extinguish population within a year . A very steep rise to the ... factors should be examined not only individually but also in combination . Would the effect of simultaneous ex- treme ...
... factor of 30 for no food , which is high enough to extinguish population within a year . A very steep rise to the ... factors should be examined not only individually but also in combination . Would the effect of simultaneous ex- treme ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
1970 conditions accumulation agricultural land assumed assumptions behavior birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRN1 capital investment CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CI=C CIAF CIGN1 CIMT Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT NRUN1 POLN1 POLCM pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution ratio POLR POLLUTION UNITS pollution-absorption population and capital population density pressures QL-Q ratio CIR RATIO DIMENSIONLESS result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK TIME.K tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system