World Dynamics1971 |
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Page viii
... human events in a way that can be transmitted to govern- ments and peoples to influence the trends of rising population , increasing pollu- tion , greater crowding , and growing social strife . At the time of the Bern meeting , The Club ...
... human events in a way that can be transmitted to govern- ments and peoples to influence the trends of rising population , increasing pollu- tion , greater crowding , and growing social strife . At the time of the Bern meeting , The Club ...
Page 14
... human mind assembles a few relationships to fit the context of a discussion . As the subject shifts , so does the model . Even as a single topic is being discussed , each participant in a conversation is using a different mental model ...
... human mind assembles a few relationships to fit the context of a discussion . As the subject shifts , so does the model . Even as a single topic is being discussed , each participant in a conversation is using a different mental model ...
Page 15
... human mind is effective in identifying the structure of a complex situation . But human experience trains the mind only poorly for estimating the dynamic consequences of how the parts of a system will interact with one another . Until ...
... human mind is effective in identifying the structure of a complex situation . But human experience trains the mind only poorly for estimating the dynamic consequences of how the parts of a system will interact with one another . Until ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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1970 conditions accumulation agricultural land assumed assumptions behavior birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRMM BRN1 capital investment CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment multiplier capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CIAF CIGN1 Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve death rate normal decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT NRUN1 POLN1 POLAT POLCM pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution-absorption population and capital population density PRESENT ORIGINAL pressures ratio CIR RATIO DIMENSIONLESS result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK TIME.K tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system