World Dynamics1971 |
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Page 36
... expect the birth rate to decline , but the amount is not easy to estimate . High standard of living is usually associated with a higher adequacy of food , more crowding , and more pollution . These effects have probably not been ...
... expect the birth rate to decline , but the amount is not easy to estimate . High standard of living is usually associated with a higher adequacy of food , more crowding , and more pollution . These effects have probably not been ...
Page 98
... expect from birth - control programs ? Will they be effective , or will they fall into one of the failure categories so common to programs that attempt to intervene in the behavior of social systems ? Will a birth - control program ...
... expect from birth - control programs ? Will they be effective , or will they fall into one of the failure categories so common to programs that attempt to intervene in the behavior of social systems ? Will a birth - control program ...
Page 113
... expect them to be . Furthermore , when a sensitive influence is identified , the chances are that a person guided only by intuition and judgment will alter the control variable in the wrong direction . For example as seen in Chapter 5 ...
... expect them to be . Furthermore , when a sensitive influence is identified , the chances are that a person guided only by intuition and judgment will alter the control variable in the wrong direction . For example as seen in Chapter 5 ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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1970 conditions accumulation agricultural land assumed assumptions behavior birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRMM BRN1 capital investment CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment multiplier capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CIAF CIGN1 Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve death rate normal decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS natural resources natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT NRUN1 POLN1 POLAT POLCM pollution absorption pollution crisis pollution-absorption population and capital population density PRESENT ORIGINAL pressures ratio CIR RATIO DIMENSIONLESS result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK TIME.K tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system