World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page ix
... future investigation . I hope this book con- tributes to the sense of urgency and also that it points to an effective direction for work by others who may choose to explore the alternatives for the future . In spite of the tentative ...
... future investigation . I hope this book con- tributes to the sense of urgency and also that it points to an effective direction for work by others who may choose to explore the alternatives for the future . In spite of the tentative ...
Page 112
... future that man may not be capable of sustaining . Our greatest challenge now is how to handle the transition from growth into equilibrium . The industrial societies have behind them long traditions that have encouraged and rewarded ...
... future that man may not be capable of sustaining . Our greatest challenge now is how to handle the transition from growth into equilibrium . The industrial societies have behind them long traditions that have encouraged and rewarded ...
Page 125
... future of the earth must be faced soon as a guide for present action . Goals of nations and societies must be altered to become compatible with that future , otherwise man remains out of balance with his environment . Man can do vast ...
... future of the earth must be faced soon as a guide for present action . Goals of nations and societies must be altered to become compatible with that future , otherwise man remains out of balance with his environment . Man can do vast ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
1970 conditions accumulation agricultural land assumed assumptions behavior billion birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRN1 CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment multiplier capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CI=C CIAF CIGN1 CIMT Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve death rate normal decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS Natural resources Quality natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT POLAT pollution absorption pollution crisis POLLUTION UNITS pollution-absorption population and capital population density PRESENT ORIGINAL pressures QL-Q ratio CIR result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living structure system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system