World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 6
... factor of 4,000 , agricul- tural land declines by only 17 % , and the food ratio is essentially constant at its maximum value . But in the next 100 years , population rises further by only another factor of four while agricultural land ...
... factor of 4,000 , agricul- tural land declines by only 17 % , and the food ratio is essentially constant at its maximum value . But in the next 100 years , population rises further by only another factor of four while agricultural land ...
Page 40
... factor of 2 but no more . At the left extreme of the diagram , if the material standard falls to zero , the death rate is shown as rising by a factor of 3. It is possible that further examination will show that this relationship should ...
... factor of 2 but no more . At the left extreme of the diagram , if the material standard falls to zero , the death rate is shown as rising by a factor of 3. It is possible that further examination will show that this relationship should ...
Page 43
... factor of 2 per person on a world - wide basis . At the left edge of the diagram , death rate rises by a factor of 30 for ... factors should be examined not only individually but also in combination . Would the effect of simultaneous ex ...
... factor of 2 per person on a world - wide basis . At the left edge of the diagram , death rate rises by a factor of 30 for ... factors should be examined not only individually but also in combination . Would the effect of simultaneous ex ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
1970 conditions accumulation agricultural land assumed assumptions behavior billion birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRN1 CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment multiplier capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CI=C CIAF CIGN1 CIMT Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve death rate normal decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS Natural resources Quality natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT POLAT pollution absorption pollution crisis POLLUTION UNITS pollution-absorption population and capital population density PRESENT ORIGINAL pressures QL-Q ratio CIR result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living structure system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system