World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 34
... billion in 1900 and a world population of 3.6 billion in 1970 , the cumulative growth rate has averaged 1.2 % per year . This is the difference between the birth rate and the death rate which we will here take as the difference between ...
... billion in 1900 and a world population of 3.6 billion in 1970 , the cumulative growth rate has averaged 1.2 % per year . This is the difference between the birth rate and the death rate which we will here take as the difference between ...
Page 38
... billion people , then multiplying 3.6 billion people by 1 unit of natural re- sources per year per person and by 250 years gives 900 billion units of natural resources as the proper value for natural resources initial NRI . This figure ...
... billion people , then multiplying 3.6 billion people by 1 unit of natural re- sources per year per person and by 250 years gives 900 billion units of natural resources as the proper value for natural resources initial NRI . This figure ...
Page 50
... billion , the initial value of capital investment was 1.6 billion times 0.25 or 0.4 billion . CI.K = CI.J + ( DT ) ( CIG.JK - CID.JK ) CI CII CII .4E9 CI CIG CID CII · - 24 , L 24.1 , N 24.2 , C CAPITAL INVESTMENT ( CAPITAL UNITS ) ...
... billion , the initial value of capital investment was 1.6 billion times 0.25 or 0.4 billion . CI.K = CI.J + ( DT ) ( CIG.JK - CID.JK ) CI CII CII .4E9 CI CIG CID CII · - 24 , L 24.1 , N 24.2 , C CAPITAL INVESTMENT ( CAPITAL UNITS ) ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
1970 conditions accumulation agricultural land assumed assumptions behavior billion birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRN1 CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment multiplier capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CI=C CIAF CIGN1 CIMT Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve death rate normal decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS Natural resources Quality natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT POLAT pollution absorption pollution crisis POLLUTION UNITS pollution-absorption population and capital population density PRESENT ORIGINAL pressures QL-Q ratio CIR result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living structure system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system