World DynamicsExamination of the structure of countervailing forces such as population growth, food production, capital investment, natural resources depletion, pollution, etc., at world level when exponential growth rate overburdens the environment - simulates world growth trends by means of a large-scale computer model and shows that a global equilibrium could be achieved if social policies and programmes were chosen taking into account the dynamic characteristics of world social systems. Flow charts. |
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Page 67
... behavior that have been assumed . The rules describe how each part of the system is to operate in response to pressures and influences from other parts of the system . The rules allow a computer to play the roles of the various elements ...
... behavior that have been assumed . The rules describe how each part of the system is to operate in response to pressures and influences from other parts of the system . The rules allow a computer to play the roles of the various elements ...
Page 68
Jay W. Forrester. From the behavior of the system , doubts will arise that will call for a review of the original assumptions . From the process of working back and forth between assumptions about the parts and observed behavior of the ...
Jay W. Forrester. From the behavior of the system , doubts will arise that will call for a review of the original assumptions . From the process of working back and forth between assumptions about the parts and observed behavior of the ...
Page 74
... behavior next appears . 4.3 Pollution Crisis In a model of a social system , structure and numerical values can be changed to determine how the system behavior depends on the assumptions that have gone into the construction of the model ...
... behavior next appears . 4.3 Pollution Crisis In a model of a social system , structure and numerical values can be changed to determine how the system behavior depends on the assumptions that have gone into the construction of the model ...
Contents
Introduction | 1 |
Structure of the World System | 17 |
A World Model Structure and Assumptions | 31 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
1970 conditions accumulation agricultural land assumed assumptions behavior billion birth rate normal birth-control program BRFM BRN1 CAPITAL UNITS CAPITAL UNITS/PERSON CAPITAL-INVESTMENT DISCARD capital-investment multiplier capital-investment ratio CAPITAL-INVESTMENT-IN-AGRICULTURE FRACTION cause Chapter CI=C CIAF CIGN1 CIMT Club of Rome coefficient computer model crowding ratio curve death rate normal decline DRFM dynamic ECIR effect effective-capital-investment ratio equations equilibrium exponential growth food production food ratio food supply FPMT FRACTION/YEAR in-agriculture fraction increase industrialization INTERPOLATION limit LOGICAL FUNCTION material standard mental models mode MULTIPLIER DIMENSIONLESS Natural resources Quality natural-resource Natural-resource-usage rate negative loop NR=N NREM NREMT POLAT pollution absorption pollution crisis POLLUTION UNITS pollution-absorption population and capital population density PRESENT ORIGINAL pressures QL-Q ratio CIR result rise Section sector shortage social systems SQUARE KILOMETERS standard of living structure system levels TABHL TABLE LOOK tion units per person UNITS/PERSON/YEAR UNITS/YEAR usage rate variable world model world population world system