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Page 198
... exploratory forecasting , the forecaster attempts to explore by examination of and extrapolation from the present , the possible future FIG . II.I states of any particular situation . An 198 Technological Forecasting A Exploratory ...
... exploratory forecasting , the forecaster attempts to explore by examination of and extrapolation from the present , the possible future FIG . II.I states of any particular situation . An 198 Technological Forecasting A Exploratory ...
Page 200
... Exploratory forecasting techniques may be divided into three classes which indicate their use . ( Note : the italicized techniques may also be used in normative forecasting . ) ( a ) Techniques for improving intuitive forecasts of ...
... Exploratory forecasting techniques may be divided into three classes which indicate their use . ( Note : the italicized techniques may also be used in normative forecasting . ) ( a ) Techniques for improving intuitive forecasts of ...
Page 216
... exploratory forecast considers achievable in the time - scale envisaged . Many of the techniques used in exploratory forecasting are also suit- able for setting goals and identifying desirable futures . Of those de- scribed , ' Delphi ...
... exploratory forecast considers achievable in the time - scale envisaged . Many of the techniques used in exploratory forecasting are also suit- able for setting goals and identifying desirable futures . Of those de- scribed , ' Delphi ...
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A. N. Whitehead actually alternative attractor surface behaviour better biology C. H. Waddington CALIFORNIA/SANTA CRUZ cent chreod Club of Rome complex systems components course critical path analysis CRUZ The University curve deal diagram discussed effect epigenetic landscape estimates example experience exploratory forecasting exponential exponential growth factors feed-back flats future Games Theory genes give growth happen homeorhesis human ideas important increase Information Theory input instance instructions interactions involved John Platt kind large number lock-in mathematical means measure move operational research organized particular pattern pay-off table perhaps philosophy pollution population practical Prisoner's Dilemma problem processes produce relevance tree schismogenesis scientific method scientists sequence simple simulation situation sort stability statistics step strategy symmetry techniques technological things tion turn types UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA/SANTA usually variables whole worm zero-sum