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Page 200
... techniques may be divided into three classes which indicate their use . ( Note : the italicized techniques may also be used in normative forecasting . ) ( a ) Techniques for improving intuitive forecasts of possible futures : these ...
... techniques may be divided into three classes which indicate their use . ( Note : the italicized techniques may also be used in normative forecasting . ) ( a ) Techniques for improving intuitive forecasts of possible futures : these ...
Page 201
... Technique Perhaps the most obvious way of obtaining a forecast of long - term future developments in any particular field ... techniques , the further one looks into the future , the wider the spread of results . Delphi is probably most ...
... Technique Perhaps the most obvious way of obtaining a forecast of long - term future developments in any particular field ... techniques , the further one looks into the future , the wider the spread of results . Delphi is probably most ...
Page 216
... techniques specifically for the specifica- tion and evaluation of goals have been developed , the best - known being the various techniques based on relevance trees and goal hierarchies . Relevance Trees Relevance trees are ...
... techniques specifically for the specifica- tion and evaluation of goals have been developed , the best - known being the various techniques based on relevance trees and goal hierarchies . Relevance Trees Relevance trees are ...
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actually alternative attractor surface behaviour better biology C. H. Waddington cent chreod Club of Rome complex systems components course critical path analysis curve deal described diagram discussed effect epigenetic landscape estimates example experience exploratory forecasting exponential exponential growth factors feed-back flats future Games Theory genes give growth happen homeorhesis human ideas important increase Information Theory input instance instructions interactions involved John Platt kind large number lock-in mathematical means measure move natural resources negentropy normal operational research organized particular pattern pay-off table perhaps philosophy pollution population practical Prisoner's Dilemma problem processes produce relevance tree schismogenesis scientific method scientists sequence simple simulation situation sort stability statistics step strategy symmetry techniques technological Theory things tion turn types usually valley values variables whole worm zero-sum