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Mr. HARRY D. WHITE. One billion six hundred million dollars is
the total of silver certificates outstanding and there are in the Treas-
ury 2,400,000,000 ounces valued at between 50 and 60 cents; you would
find that the 2,400,000,000 ounces are worth about $1,300,000,000.
Those are only rough figures.

Mr. SMITH. The figures of outstanding are, I think, $1,560,000,000.
Mr. HARRY D. WHITE. One billion six hundred million dollars.

Mr. SMITH. The claim has been made that devaluation and the
operation of the stabilization fund have had the effect of raising
prices. What have you to say about that?

Secretary MORGENTHAU. The objective of the stabilization fund has
not been to raise prices. Its operations may have tended to that
effect insofar as such operations promoted stability of exchange,
encouraged world trade, and thereby helped recovery.

Mr. SMITH. I wish to insert in the record some figures I myself
worked out showing the wholesale commodity indexes relating to
certain products and pertaining to this question.

The CHAIRMAN. The gentleman wishes to submit some figures that
he himself has worked out in this connection?

Mr. SMITH. Yes.

The CHAIRMAN. Is there objection. (After a pause.) The chair
hears none.

Mr. SMITH. They are as follows and show clearly the fallacy that
devaluation has had any effect on raising prices or maintaining a
parity in purchasing power:

WHOLESALE INDEX-ALL COMMODITIES

March 1933, 60.2; January 1934, 72.2. A gain of 12 points or 20 percent in
10 months before devaluation.

January 1934, 72.2 (at begining of devaluation); April 1937, 88.0 (highest
point reached). A gain of 15.8 points or 21 percent in 39 months.

April 1937, 88.0; December 1938, 77.0. A loss of 11.0 points or 12 percent in
21 months, which loss equals 70 percent of the entire gain made since devalua-
tion, or January 1934, 72.2; December 1938, 77. A net gain of 4.8 points or 61⁄2
percent in 5 years under devaluation.

United States Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington.
(1926-100.0.)

INDEX NUMBERS, WHOLESALE PRICES ALL FARM PRODUCTS

March 1933, 42.8; January 1934, 58.7. A gain of 15.9 points, or 37 percent
in 10 months before devaluation.

January 1934, 58.7 (beginning of devaluation); March 1937, 94.1 (highest
point reached). A gain of 35.4 points, or 60 percent in 9 months.

March 1937, 94.1; January 1939, 67.2. A loss of 26.90 points, or 28 percent
in 22 months, or a 76-percent loss of the entire gain made, or

January 1934, 58.7; January 1939, 67.2. A net gain of 8.5 points, or 14
percent in 5 years after devaluation.

United States Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington.
(1926-100.0.)

GRAINS-WHOLESALE INDEX

March 1933, 36.0; January 1934, 63.7. 27.7 points gain. or 77-percent gain
in 10 months before devaluation.

January 1934 63.7; April 1937, 119.2 (highest point). 55.5 points gain, or 85
percent in 40 months.

January 1934, 63.7; December 1938, 54.4. A net loss of 9.3 points through
5 years of devaluation.

Compare other 5-year period through 1922 depression:

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No devaluation-gain of 83 percent from low of 1922 to 1925.

United States Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington.
(1926=100.0.)

Did devaluation stabilize prices or raise prices?

Comparison of index of prices—Agricultural implements and farm products

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INDEX NUMBER OF PRODUCTION

Mr. SMITH. Did devaluation of the dollar stabilize production?
March 1933, 60; July 1933, 96. 36 points gain-or 60 percent in 4 months
before devaluation.

October 1933, 78. Enforced devaluation by gold buying policy.

January 1934, 77; May 1934, 89, November 1935, 98, November 1936, 115;
March 1937, 122. Devaluation by gold content of dollar and gold buying.

May 1938, 77. One point below October 1933 when enforced devaluation began.
March 1937, 122; May 1938, 77. A loss of 45 points or 36 percent in 14 months,
completely canceling all gain made after January 1934.

COMPARISON

April 1921, 64; April 1923, 107. No devaluation.
Business Indexes-Industrial Production.

eral Reserve System.)

(Board of Governors of the Fed-

Mr. SHEPPARD. I withdraw my objection to the admission of the
Department of State press releases.

The CHAIRMAN. In the absence of objection, they will be included
in the record at this point.

Mr. SMITH. They are as follows:

SILVER-PURCHASING PROGRAM

[Released for morning newspapers of October 17]

Following is a paraphrase of a message from Dr. H. H. Kung, Chinese Min-
ister of Finance, forwarded by the American consul general at Shanghai, August
20, 1934:

"China's representative signed the London silver agreement of July 1933, and
the National Government of the Republic of China has more recently ratified
the agreement, with the understanding that the agreement was designed pri-
marily to assure the stability of the price of silver, which was deemed to be
menaced by the holdings of large surplus stocks on the part of the Government
of Spain and the India Government. In the preamble to the agreement it is
stated in part that, with a view to effective stabilization, it is to the advantage
of China that sales from monetary stocks of silver be offset by purchases as
herein provided.

"Under the Silver Purchase Act of 1934 it would now appear that the interests
of China and the stability of the price of silver are menaced as much as they
were by the previous situation of potential sellers. In order that China may
properly safeguard her currency, which has recently been flowing out of the
country to a degree that is potentially alarming, China would appreciate an
indication of the probable policy of the United States in the future purchase of
silver."

Following is the reply of the American consul general at Shanghai, September
22, 1934, to the Chinese Minister of Finance, Dr. H. H. Kung:

"The United States Government welcomes the opportunity to state its policy
with respect to silver to the Government of China. It considers the request to
be within the contemplation of paragraph 6 of the Memorandum of Agreement,
signed at London on July 22, 1933, by delegates of China and the United States,
among others.

"The Policy of the United States in the Purchase of Silver will be guided by
the following considerations: The Silver Purchase Act of 1934 declares it to be
the policy of the United States that 'the proportion of silver to gold in the
monetary stocks of the United States should be increased, with the ultimate
objective of having and maintaining, one-fourth of the monetary value of such
stocks in silver.' The Secretary of the Treasury is directed to purchase silver
to that end at such times and upon such terms and conditions as he may deem

reasonable and most advantageous to the public interest. By such an increase in the monetary use of silver, the Government of the United States believes that it is furthering the purposes of the Resolution unanimously adopted on Thursday, July 20, 1933, at the meeting of Sub-Commission II (Permanent Measures) of the Monetary and Financial Commission of the Monetary and Economic Conference.

"In such Resolution, it was recommended to all the Governments parties to the Conference that they should substitute silver coins for low-valued paper currency insofar as the budgetary and local conditions of each country would permit. While the Government of the United States will probably issue a relatively small amount of silver coins from the silyer purchased, it is in effect putting silver to the same monetary use by pledging it to secure silver certificates issued in an amount not less than the cost of the silver.

"The Government of the United States appreciates that the greatest care must be exercised in carrying out the policy declared in the Silver Purchase Act of 1934. It recognizes the unfortunate effects on its own currency and that of other nations which an excessively high price of silver would have.. This was recognized also in the Resolution referred to in the provision that 'Governments may take any action relative to their silver coinage that they may deem necessary to prevent the flight or destruction of their silver coinage by reason of a rise in the bullion price of the silver content of their coin above the nominal or parity value of such silver coin.'

"In making purchases under the authority contained in the Silver Purchase Act of 1934, the United States is desirous of avoiding any action which would hamper the action which any other government might take relative to its silver coinage to prevent the flight or destruction thereof. Should the Government of China at any time find it necessary, in order to protect its coinage, to adopt a policy of discouraging the export of silver, this Government will be glad to receive the views of the Chinese Government of the manner in which the purchasing program may be carried forward in coordination with such policy of the Chinese Government."

Following is the text of a note from the Chinese Minister, Mr. Sao-Ke Alfred Sze, dated September 24, 1934, to the Secretary of State, Mr. Cordell Hull, transmitting a message from Dr. H. H. Kung, Minister of Finance at Nanking,. dated September 23, 1934:

Hon. CORDELL HULL,

Secretary of State.

CHINESE LEGATION, Washington, September 24, 1934.

MY DEAR MR. SECRETARY: I beg to enclose herewith the following cable mes-sage from Dr. H. H. Kung, Minister of Finance at Nanking, which I am requested to deliver to you:

"China, as a leading silver standard country, considers silver has much more vital concern to it than any other country, and in view of the American silver purchase act presents to the American Government the following views supplementing previous informal communications. Since 1931 the rising of silver value in terms of foreign currency has involved severe deflation and economic losses to China and has disclocated China's balance of payments in part at least by hampering exports. Recently the stimulation of silver prices abroad to which exchange has not fully responded, has caused serious drain of silver creating great alarm. Silver exports of this year to date are over three times greater than any previous full year. Further material silver price increase would cause very serious injury to China, possibly severe panics. Although influential American circles advocate higher silver prices the Chinese Government of course makes no assumption concerning the American policy in this regard.

"China is certain that the American Government desires to avoid any action that may aggravate present conditions and therefore would appreciate an assurance that the American Government would refrain from any action that might cause a continuation of the present silver drain from China and accordingly would cooperate to prevent further rise and to maintain the stability of silver which the London agreement contemplates. Indeed from China's viewpoint the stabilization level should be somewhat lower than the present price.

"The National Government feels obliged actively to seek means of avoiding further hardships of silver fluctuations. It considers that China should not alone maintain the silver standard and is considering the gradual introduction of a gold basis currency which will necessitate he acquiring of gold. Since

the American Government desires an increased proportion of silver in its monetary reserve the National Government desires also to ascertain in principle whether the American Government is willing to exchange with the Chinese Government gold for silver."

I am [etc.]

SAO-KE ALFRED SZE. Following is the text of a note from the Chinese Minister, Mr. Sao-Ke Alfred Sze, to the Secretary of State, Mr. Cordell Hull:

Hon. CORDELL HULL,

Secretary of State.

CHINESE LEGATION, Washington, October 2, 1934.

MY DEAR MR. SECRETARY: I beg to inform you that I have received a cablegram from Dr. H. H. Kung, Minister of Finance at Nanking, with the request that it be communicated to you. It reads as follows:

"The message of September 22 received today through the American Consulate is understood to have been delayed by mutilations which necessitate several repetitions. Please at once reply that China is gratified that the American Government recognizes the unfortunate effects excessive price of silver would have and would appreciate the earliest practicable reply to our telegram of September 23 in order to assist China in deciding on a policy to meet a potentially serious monetary situation resulting from the present rise in price and drain of silver. American cooperation to prevent further rise in the price of silver and to maintain stability as contemplated in the London Agreement is particularly vital to China. In this connection it may be pointed out that the rise of silver discourages the export of commodities and thereby impairs China's purchasing power for imports. Also a reply is desired to our inquiry regarding the exchange of silver for gold. With respect to discouraging the export of silver from China it may be explained that this condition results largely from artificial stimulation of the price of silver abroad and that restrictive measures would create difficulty here which the Government has striven to avoid particularly because restrictions would probably create severe breaks in exchange detrimental to trade and, it is feared, would aggravate the present difficulty in the local financial market. Could not the American Government for the present restrict its purchases to silver already in America to avoid further promoting the drain from China?"

I am [etc.]

SAO-KE ALFRED SZE.

Following is the text of the reply of the Secretary of State to the above note from the Chinese Minister:

October 12, 1984.

SIR: I wish to acknowledge the cablegram from Dr. H. H. Kung, Minister of Finance at Nanking, transmitted by you to the Department on October 2, 1934, and request that you be kind enough to transmit the following reply:

I regret the delay in the delivery of my message of September 22, I have endeavored in conversation with the Chinese Minister at Washington to state fully the attitude of this Government in regard to the preoccupations and suggestions put forward by the Chinese Government in your two messages, in connection with the execution of the American program of silver purchases. In my discussion with the Minister, I have tried to indicate the purposes animating this Government in its silver purchasing program. This program is embodied in an act of Congress which is mandatory, as to its general objective upon the Executive. The ways and means to be used for carrying out this objective are left within the discretion of the Executive but of course must be consistent with the achievement of that objective.

This Government is desirous of so carrying out the program as to produce the general benefit that would result from the enhancement and stabilization of the price of silver, and to avoid so far as may be possible disturbances to the economy and public finances of China. Therefore in conducting operations under the Silver Purchase Act this Government while necessarily keeping within the general purposes of enactment, will give the closest possible attention to the possibilities of so arranging the time, the place, and the quantity of its purchases as will keep in view the considerations put forward by the Chinese Government in its communication.

Free markets in which gold or silver could be acquired by purchasers are now open to all nations, and therefore direct intergovernmental transactions have not been undertaken. The availability of such markets in the future is open

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