Conventional Coercion Across the Spectrum of Operations: The Utility of U.S. Military Forces in the Emerging Security Environment, Issue 1494

Front Cover
Rand Corporation, 2002 - History - 140 pages
The raison d'âetre for any military force is to deter an adversary from acting inimically to the nation's interests or, if the adversary is undeterred, to coerce him into ceasing, or in some cases reversing, the inimical actions. After carefully defining terms and reviewing the literature on coercion, this report delves into a study of the utility of military power as a coercive instrument of deterrence and compellence. The authors then analyze cases (both U.S. and foreign, successes and failures) that provide insights into conventional coercion at all levels of conflict. They conclude by stressing that the essential nature of coercion remains unchanged and that only a thorough understanding of the nation's adversaries, and of our own will and capabilities, will yield a successful coercive strategy.
 

Selected pages

Contents

INTRODUCTION
1
METHODOLOGY
5
THE THEORY OF COERCION
7
Deterrence
10
Compellence
13
COERCIVE STRATEGY
15
Coercion Outcomes
18
Capability
19
Force Structure Implications of SSCs
48
MAJOR THEATER WARS
51
Force Structure Implications of MTWs
57
STRIKES AND RAIDS
60
IMPLICATIONS AND INSIGHTS
65
MAJOR ONGOING US MILITARY COERCION EFFORTS
70
MTW DeterrenceKorea
71
MTW DeterrenceIraq
72

Credibility
20
What Is at Stake for the Enemy?
21
Coercion and Countercoercion
22
WHAT DOES IT TAKE TO COERCE?
23
Categorizing the Adversarys Coercion Threshold
28
Assessing an Adversarys Capabilities to Resist Military Coercion
30
Insights from a Matrixed View of Potential Adversaries
32
CASE STUDY RESULTS
35
STABILITY AND SUPPORT OPERATIONS
37
Force Structure Implications of SASO
42
SMALLERSCALE CONTINGENCIES
44
Ongoing NonMTW Coercive Operations Involving US Military Forces
73
INSIGHTS FOR THE FUTURE
75
Appendix
83
STABILITY AND SUPPORT OPERATIONS
87
SMALLERSCALE CONTINGENCIES SSCs
94
MAJOR THEATER WARS
109
STRIKES
117
RAIDS
120
BIBLIOGRAPHY
125
Copyright

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