Gazing Into the Oracle: The Delphi Method and Its Application to Social Policy and Public Health
The Delphi Method is an exercise in group communication. It is intended to enhance informed decision-making by enabling decision makers to plan based on a wide reservoir of knowledge, experience and expertise in a systematic manner. The book is divided into two parts: Part 1 contains chapters on theoretical, methodological and practical issues - inclusing computerisation - which are raised by the Delphi Method while Part 2 consists of a series of case studies which illustrate the application fo the Delphi Method to a range of problems in social policy and public health. The case studies show how the Delphi Method has been used to study furture trends in mental health and mental health care, services for the elderly, accidents, family planning services, the implications of advances in biomedical and behavioural research and the administration of social security.
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The Delphi Method and its Contribution
Theoretical Methodological and Practical Issues
ComputerBased Delphi Processes
A Comprehensive Study of the Ethical Legal
of Mental Health Utrecht
Alternative Approaches to the Computerisation
accident risks analysis anonymity assessment behavioural research biomedical and behavioural chapter clients communication completed Computer-Mediated Computer-Mediated Communications concerned consensus contribute Cross Impact Analysis Dalkey de-motivators decision decision-making Delbecq Delphi applications Delphi exercise Delphi Method Delphi panel Delphi process Delphi questionnaire Delphi study Delphi Technique dementia discussion example Expert Systems face-to-face facilitator feedback Forecasting FPSs future group process Hiltz ideas identified impact implementation implications important increase individual involved judgements knowledge Linstone ment mental health Michael Adler Netherlands opinions organisation outcome panellists were asked participants perspective Policy Delphi policy issues policy measures possible potential presented problem professional public health questions RAND Corporation reference scenario responses round scale second PEI selected side-conversations social policy social security specific straw model structure subject areas summary survey targets techniques tion Turoff utilisation views Voorburg voting World Health Organisation
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Limited preview - 2002
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